Our magma is swelling, our income is shrinking. These are Greek realities on Monday, September 10th 2012. Why our income is shrinking is very obvious and does not need surveys or experts to tells us why. But that the magma (the chamber of liquid rock) under the Santorini volcano is swelling is the result of a research conducted by several volcanologists, an Oxford University-led team of experts who posted their findings on the journal “National Geoscience“.
“Measurements of surface deformation show that magma equivalent to 10–50% of that emitted in previous small eruptions has been injected beneath Santorini since January 2011, implying that the volcano is instead charged by rapid, episodic fluxes of melt.”
The chamber of liquid rock, or magma, beneath the volcano expanded by 10 million to 20 million cubic meters from January 2011 to this April, a University of Oxford-led team wrote in the journal Nature Geoscience. That’s as much as 15 times the size of London’s Olympic Stadium, the university said separately.
Giant Baloon of Magma Inflates under Santorini
A new survey suggests that the chamber of molten rock beneath Santorini’s volcano expanded 10-20 million cubic metres – up to 15 times the size of London’s Olympic Stadium – between January 2011 and April 2012.
The growth of this ‘balloon’ of magma has seen the surface of the island rise 8-14 centimetres during this period, a team led by Oxford University scientists has found. The results come from an expedition, funded by the UK’s Natural Environment Research Council, which used satellite radar images and Global Positioning System receivers (GPS) that can detect movements of the Earth’s surface of just a few millimetres.
The findings are helping scientists to understand more about the inner workings of the volcano which had its last major explosive eruption 3,600 years ago, burying the islands of Santorini under metres of pumice. However, it still does not provide an answer to the biggest question of all: when will the volcano next erupt?Michelle Parks makes GPS measurements on Santorini.
A report of the research appears in this week’s Nature Geoscience.
In January 2011, a series of small earthquakes began beneath the islands of Santorini. Most were so small they could only be detected with sensitive seismometers but it was the first sign of activity beneath the volcano to be detected for 25 years.
Following the earthquakes Michelle Parks, an Oxford University DPhil student, spotted signs of movement of the Earth’s surface on Santorini in satellite radar images. Oxford University undergraduate students then helped researchers complete a new survey of the island.
Parks, who is based in Oxford University’s Department of Earth Sciences and is an author of the paper, said: ‘During my field visits to Santorini in 2011, it became apparent that many of the locals were aware of a change in the behaviour of their volcano. The tour guides, who visit the volcano several times a day, would update me on changes in the amount of strong smelling gas being released from the summit, or changes in the colour of the water in some of the bays around the islands.
There are very few volcanoes where we have such detailed information about their past history.
Professor David Pyle
‘On one particular day in April 2011, two guides told me they had felt an earthquake while they were on the volcano and that the motion of the ground had actually made them jump. Locals working in restaurants on the main island of Thera became aware of the increase in earthquake activity due to the vibration and clinking of glasses in their bars.’
Dr Juliet Biggs of Bristol University, also an author of the paper, said: ‘People were obviously aware that something was happening to the volcano, but it wasn’t until we saw the changes in the GPS, and the uplift on the radar images that we really knew that molten rock was being injected at such a shallow level beneath the volcano.
‘Many volcanologists study the rocks produced by old eruptions to understand what happened in the past, so it’s exciting to use cutting-edge satellite technology to link that to what’s going on in the volcanic plumbing system right now.’
Professor David Pyle of Oxford University’s Department of Earth Sciences, an author of the paper, said: ‘For me, the challenge of this project is to understand how the information on how the volcano is behaving right now can be squared with what we thought we knew about the volcano, based on the studies of both recent and ancient eruptions. There are very few volcanoes where we have such detailed information about their past history.’
The team calculate that the amount of molten rock that has arrived beneath Santorini in the past year is the equivalent of about 10-20 years growth of the volcano. But this does not mean that an eruption is about to happen: in fact the rate of earthquake activity has dropped off in the past few months. (Oxford University)
Quoting Greek volcanologist George Vigioukalakis, Bloomberg wrote:
The volume of molten rock that’s accumulated since the start of 2011 amounts to as much as 50 percent of the amount expelled during Santorini’s smaller eruptions. The increased activity began with three small earthquakes in January 2011 and has subsided since April, they said in the statement. Others say that’s a sign an eruption may not be imminent.
All anomalous tremors, deformation of land, chemical releases and heat measurements have subsided this year, Georges Vougioukalakis, a volcanologist with the Institute of Geology and Mineral Exploration in Athens, said today in an e-mail.
“Now all registered activity is that of the ‘normal’ dormant state of the volcano,” Vougioukalakis said.
Santorini volcano, whose eruption 3,600 years ago wiped out Minoan settlements on the Greek island and in Crete, has begun to fill with molten rock and expand the most since its last eruption from 1939 to 1941.
Santorini, one of the Cyclades islands in Greece, is a popular destination for tourists and cruise ships. The islands was devastated by the Minoan eruption and now forms a steep-walled arc in the Aegean Sea. While no imminent eruption is suggested by the data, it can’t be ruled out, the authors said.
Santorini explosive eruptions occur every 10,000 to 30,000 years. The volcano had its last “significant” eruption about 70 years ago.
No problem to come and visit Santorini in the next several thousands years, I suppose.
PS I personally wouldn’t mind some magma-touring like in the books by Jules Verne 🙂