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Greece’s Referendum: first Public Poll after Bank Holiday & Capital Controls

The first public opinion poll on Greek Referendum has been published after the government imposed bank holiday and capital controls. Conducted by
ProRata for daily Efimerida ton Syntakton, shows that “NO to Creditors’ Proposals” suffered an 11% loss after the capital controls were imposed.

greece referendum polling

BEFORE Bank Holiday & Capital Controls:

NO 57% – YES 30% – DON’T KNOW 13%

AFTER Bank Holiday & Capital Controls:

NO 46% – YES 37% – DON’T KNOW 17%

Final result (I suppose: ‘average result’?)

NO 54% YES 33% – DON’T KNOW 13%

One in two Greeks (50%) considers PM Tsipras’ decision to go to Referendum as “correct”. 38% considers Tsipras’ Referendum decision was “wrong”, 7% “neither …nor”, 5% ‘doesn’t know’.

High participation: 86% declares it will go to vote. Participation has to be 40% so that the Referendum is “valid.”

The poll was conducted among “registered voters”

Depending on what they vote in January elections

SYRIZA voters: 77% NO 15% YES

New Democracy voters: 65% YES, 22% NO

To Potami voters: 68% YES 21% NO

*KKE voters: 57% NO 20% YES

**Independent Greeks 60% NO 31% YES

PASOK 65% YES 21% NO 20% YES

*Greek Communist Party KKE has decided to vote “invalid” angering lots of supporters and even party officials. I cannot tell you exactly what’s the argument of KKE to refrain from taking position in such a crucial issue for the country. It’s some kind of …”ideological-procedual-whatever reasoning.” Nevertheless, KKE is a notorious sayer of “NO to ALL & Everything”.

**Independent Greeks is SYRIZA’s junior coalition government partner.

NO-voters according to age group

Majority of Greece’s youth aged 18-34, the group mostly plagued by unemployment,  favors NO at 57%

aged 35-54 at 53%

aged 55+ at 43%

According to Profession:

Businessmen 33% YES 46% NO

Private Sector Employees: 37% YES  50% NO

Public Sector Employees: 29% YES 56% NO

Private sector Pensioners: 41% YES 45% NO

Public Sector Pensioners 43% YES 46% NO

Self-employed, freelancers: 32% YES 52% NO

Unemployed 23% YES 62% NO

Housewives 34% YES 41% NO

Personal Criteria for Voting YES:

“My feeling for the homeland” 21% “my opinion for Greece’s participation in EU” 64%, “my opinion for the specific creditors’ proposal” 5% “my opinion for Tsipras’ government” 4% “other/don’t know 4%/2%

Personal Criteria for Voting NO:

“My feeling for the homeland” 41% “my opinion for Greece’s participation in EU” 14%, “my opinion for the specific creditors’ proposal” 28% “my opinion for Tsipras’ government” 10% “other/don’t know 4%/3%

The poll was conducted by ProRata among 1,200 registered voters in the time 28-39 June 2015. Error Margin +/- 2.8%

Full Poll in Greek here

It is very clear that the Bank Holiday & Capital Controls will influence voters. Another factor and thus in Communication terms is that: YES-supporter and experienced scaremonger conservative New Democracy has already started to “bombard” voters with several spots on television.

This is something that the government cannot do as it still is struggling for a Lat Minute agreement with creditors and keeps sending them proposals.

From what several SYRIZA officials said in the last hours, KTG understands that the government may change its NO-stance to Referendum or even cancel it if it reaches a “good agreement” before Sunday -But it would never cancel it because the creditors want so.

PS Polls are allowed to be published until Friday.

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17 comments

  1. A portion of the Greek electorate voted for Syriza because they thought their lifestyle cannot be any worse than what it is already. That reminded me of an old joke:

    The pessimist says, ‘It can’t get any worse!’ And the optimist replies, ‘Oh yes it can!

  2. If the vote would be about:

    – Bring corruption to an end
    – Have taxes being really paid
    – Reduce the government to what is actually needed to perform their tasks
    – Have the government actually do their job

    How many people would vote Yes?
    I guess 90%

  3. Hmm, that’s what media brainwashing and widespread scaremongery can do – 11% alteration. They have been terrorising the grannies again.

  4. THis shows that the NO has the lead, but that now more than ever the leadership role is crucial! Instead of going on “wild goose chases” of deals that will never happen. Tsipras must stay focused on the Greek internal situation! He must mobilize for the referendum, he must take measures to alleviate the impact of the capital controls, he has to use all instruments at his disposal to fight against the ongoing propaganda/financial strangulation/subversion of the internal and external enemies of the Greek people! That is not accomplished by desperately trying to make deals with the sociopaths that want to see him out of power! Furthermore, it gives the fosters confusion and illusions of delas on the people.

    • Giaourti Giaourtaki

      The referendum can be called illegal afterwards as it’s not enough time to decide, but as the dick of Germany said any decision regarding Greece will be made after the referendum the dick will have enough time to wait a month to organize it proper.
      So now the banks must give out the 120 billion that belong to the people and not to the EU or the banks or Draghi and everything will be fine, people can decide then more or less relaxed without being hungry.

  5. This shows that the NO has the lead, but that now more than ever the leadership role is crucial! Instead of going on “wild goose chases” of deals that will never happen Tsipras must stay focused on the Greek internal situation!
    He must mobilize for the referendum, he must take measures to alleviate the impact of the capital controls, he has to use all instruments at his disposal to fight against the ongoing propaganda/financial strangulation/subversion of the internal and external enemies of the Greek people! That is not accomplished by desperately trying to make deals with the sociopaths that want to see him out of power! Furthermore, it fosters confusion and spreads illusions on the people.
    Tsipras and Syriza have to put all their head in the game for a clear no, come what may, and start to impose policies to alleviate the financial strangulation that are not simply begging the sociopath creditors!

  6. I am the optimist and yes it can be much worse. Tspiras and Syriza are counting on that the EU will give in. But why should they? Greece cost the EU more every year, without the reforms even more. The financial world will hardly lend money to Greece at this moment and even less when the referendum will be a no. When the ECB will stick to the rules and won’t support the Greek banks anymore. The Greek people have the chance there will be no cash money anymore. Tsipras is a gambler with the Greek peoples lives for what..? Communism, going to Russia? Sell out to the Chinees? Calling upon democracy, ancient history seems to work but what if there will be no negotiations anymore or with more hard rules? Who do you blame then? Probably everybody else as long it is no Greek.

    • Giaourti Giaourtaki

      “Sellout to the Chinese” is wanted by EU and Berlin or not as one can see in their lies regarding Pireus or did any media published that there are more bidders beside COSCO? So let’s piss of the Chinese with media hoax about Greece so that MAERSK can buy cheaper.
      Communism, Russia, it’s all German Goebbels media constructs, gamblers are shell-gamers like Dieselblümchen trying to trick Varoufakis name on a paper different than drafted.

    • If one side does not give way, all of the EU will be badly damaged. In that sense, it does not matter who gives way. The difference is that Greece will be badly damaged in perpetuity by the Troika agenda; and may have an escape route by voting NO. But all options are bad, because the Germans have decided that way.

      • Id say both sides should give in half the way. Greece getss a haircut, the lenders get sufficent assurances for a permanently balanced/surplus budget.

        • keeptalkinggreece

          see? it’s so damn’d SIMPLE

          • Maybe the two of us should go into professional politics, I dare say most of this problems would be solved by prime minister KTG aqnd chancellor che 🙂

        • Greece was/is not even asking for a haircut, as far as I know. They asked for discussion on restructuring of debt — which is basically a revised timetable. Germany refuses even to discuss this, when all economists (including the IMF, in the report that germany tried to censor) are agreed that it has to be done.

          The problem is Germany. There is no half-way compromise, because the stupid Krauts refuse to move one millimetre from their position. I think Greece would gladly accept a quarter-way compromise.

          Try reading some detailed history of how the Germans have behaved over the last two centuries. This is the same story now. They will destroy the EU with their shit.

  7. IT’S ALL A BIG JOKE

    sorry, I can’t understand it
    I’ve always been told that debts have to be paid,
    otherwise, you’re not trustworthy and not honest

    if you or I would try that, we would have bailiffs all over us
    (o yes, Greece has a few islands, no?)

    Greece received approx. 400 billion euros in aid
    the last couple of years (for such a small country)
    what did they do with it and who OK’ed it

    now, they are blackmailing us

    NOT RIGHT… NOT RIGHT

    • Giaourti Giaourtaki

      When you try to learn reading you might figure from numbers the IMF published just a few days ago that Greece paid back to the IMF 40 billion, the EU/ECB received only in interest 6 billion from Greece (Germany alone cashed in 2.4 billion profits from this) and from the 200 billion Greece pays back until 2030 150 billion are interest.
      How is about leaving the interest beside to get at least a clearer picture?

    • More Teutonic nonsense. No, Greece did NOT receive 400 billion in aid. The german and french banks received most of that money. You stupid Germans continue to believe the lies and propaganda of your Fuehrers.