The weather in Europe has been unstable in recent days, while Guido Guidi, one of the best meteorologists, predicts that this scenario will be maintained after mid-July.
Both Italy and the whole of Europe are going through a strange weather season, since there was practically no spring this year, since April and May in particular were unusually cold and rainy months in a large part of Europe. Especially in Italy the rainfall broke the all-time records in many parts of the country, finally ending the dry season that had lasted for 16 whole months.
As we enter the first days of June, meteorologists note that the weather conditions have not changed and temperatures remain below normal levels for the season, with heavy rainfall continuing, with a tendency to become even heavier in the coming period , reports forecastweather.gr.
As Guido Guidi, one of Italy’s best meteorologists, points out, global weather analysis mathematical models insist that this scenario may persist beyond mid-July in the Mediterranean basin.
“On June 27, the new version of the ECMWF high-resolution European mathematical model will be released, the maps of which are already available. But the first evidence it shows is clear. We could have reached the middle of July without virtually any heat wave having affected the Mediterranean countries and especially Italy, Greece and the Balkans”, notes the meteorologist.
The possibility of Europe experiencing a year without summer is analyzed by Guido Guidi. In an interview with the Italian website Meteoweb.eu, where he states that everything is possible and therefore one cannot rule it out as a scenario. T
here are related studies that state that the eruption of the Tonga volcano on January 15, 2022 in the Pacific Ocean could affect the global climate.
In any case, climate change happens regardless of whether an external factor has contributed, such as the eruption of a volcano, as long as we go to the summer of 2022 where apart from a strong heat wave we had in June, July and August went quite smoothly in Italy and Southeast Europe, without having extreme heat waves as we saw in Western Europe.
However, there cannot be clear answers.
“So if the estimates of the specific mathematical model, which is considered one of the most reliable, are verified, then it is possible that until after the middle of July we will not have any heat waves in Italy, Greece and the Balkans. Now to have heatwaves in the third month of the summer season which is August? Whatever is said will be extremely rash,” Guidi emphasizes. “However, it would not surprise me if after two whole centuries 2023 ends up being the year without a summer in Europe,” he concludes.
MAP with temperatures;
source: via in..gr