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Saturday, June 13, 2026

S&P: 1-in-3 Boring Chances for Greece’s Boring Debt Restructuring – YAWN!

The whole issue of Greece’s Debt Restructureis getting incredible boring. Day in, day out there is also somebody somewhere saying something on the issue with one single purpose: to let spreads go up and down and make money. As my stakes portofolio is modest and I don’t participate in such speculative actions, no wonder I find this debate super-ultra B-O-R-I-N-G! Today it was the Standard * Poor’s rating agency that felt the need to say something. You can read it if you are not b-o-r-e-d: 

” The head of European sovereign debt analysis at Standard & Poor΄s Ratings Group said that the chance of a general debt restructuring by Greece is “”almost one-third”, according to Dow Jones Newswires. Moritz Kraemer told German weekly Die Zeit that for a restructuring to be effective, creditors may have to forego between 50% and 70% of their claims. He expects the European Union first to examine the possibility of lightening Greece΄s burden by extending debt maturities and cutting the interest rates payable.

However, this would make little sense if the end effect would only be to cut Greece΄s debt load to 130% of gross domestic product from 160% of GDP, according to S&P analyst.

By contrast, Kraemer said that the situation in Ireland and Portugal was nowhere near as “dramatic” as in Greece, while a restructuring of Irish debt is considered extraordinarily unlikely, as the country had “reached a turning point.” (Source: Capital.gr)
 
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