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Greek Elections – Secret Opinion Polls: Anger and Panic

Just one week before the May 6th elections and people seem unstoppably angry about the two big parties (socialist PASOK, conservative Nea Dimokratia). The parties themselves are allegedly in panic, while pollsters are puzzled over the blurre political climate.

Sunday newspaper Proto Thema revealed that the rolling public opinion surveys that are conducted on a daily basis reaffirm the political climate and the voters’ intentions as this climate was recorded before the ban of publication of opinion polls, two weeks before the elections.

The secret opinion polls show that PASOk and Nea Dimokratia keep on moving on relative low levels, with the gap between these two parties to close. Furthermore PASOK seems unable to keep its voters from escaping to left parties like SYRIZA and Democratic Left.

The newspaper writes, the voters’ intentions for PASOK and ND hardly exceed together 30%, while the parties struggle to get 40%.

In some electoral departments, like the 2nd district of Athens, the biggest in Greece, ND comes 3rd party and PASOK fifth, while impressive is the voters’ preference towards SYRIZA, Communist KKE and nationalist Independent Greeks.

In two of the rolling pools, PASOKseems to have lost 60% of its power towards SYRIZA and Democratic Left, primarily- and Social Alliance (former PASOK officials) and EcoGreens.

Nea Dimokratia loses voters to Independent Greeks.

Impressive to shocking are the opinion polls for extreme right Chrysi Avgi which records 6%-9% in Western Greece and Western Macedonia, gaining voters from far-right LAOS.

Before the opinion polls ban, Papademos coalition government partners were getting : ND 17.7% – 25.5%, PASOK 12%-19%. Coalition partner for short time LAOS was getting 4%.

SYRIZA 12%, Independent Greeks 8%-10%, KKE 9%, Democratic Left 8%, Chrysi Avgi 5%. Polls were showing EcoGreens and Democratic Alliance as struggling to pass the 3% threshold and enter the parliament.

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14 comments

  1. WOW!
    We live in interesting times.
    Will you be live on election night next Sunday? Or maybe I can follow your Twitter page? If so I will take my laptop down to our local cafebar.

  2. keeptalkinggreece

    WOW indeed. We will be live blogging 96%

  3. Thank you so much for this info. It will make for an interesting Sunday evening and night next week. And for a very interesting couple of weeks after that.
    Any news about possible strikes on Sunday of GENOP-DEH or the journalist unions??? 😉

  4. keeptalkinggreece

    there is some talks about journalists union but hopefully not on the elections day. then we get info form blogs, websites and foreign media 🙂

  5. I almost would hope for it: only KTG live and everybody scrambling for batteries to keep the computers running… And foreign media just don’t get what’s going on here and still are using a very strange bunch of local correspondence I feel. Would be great if we needed to listen to DW for the election results. *not* 😆

  6. Thank you!
    I think we have a date together next Sunday night, KTG! I hope everyone (Greek and others) in my local cafebar will be following you instead of the TV.

  7. keeptalkinggreece

    huh! KTG cannot take the burden of such a great responsibility ….

  8. Is true that we want a coalition government but NOT of ND and PASOK. We, the Greek citizens, are NOT afraid of SYRIZA and KKE not even the nazi party of Chrisi Avgi (Golden Dawn). We are afraid that ND and PASOK may form a coalition government, as we strongly feel that they are completely corrapted and they just want to sell out Greece for their own interest.
    As for SKAI TV, we don’t think is objective this is why their rates are always below 7%.
    Also 75% of the citizens refuse to answer to any poll as we believe they are “guided”. So the polls do not reflect the current voting intention this is why the big agencies refused to conduct exit polls on Sunday.
    There will be no strikes on Sunday, so guys stay tuned for a hopefully surprising election result.

  9. keeptalkinggreece

    if ND & PASOK manage again to form a coalition what was the purpose of elections? that in the new gov the upper hand will belong to ND? 75% of citizens refuse to answer to any poll? who claims this? That the big TV media (inlc state broadcaster) have run out of money is the reason why there was a problem with the exit polls. But no worries. Apparantly 4 TV channels agreed to pay exit polls, so we will have them.

  10. About the exit polls I just read about and it is good news. It was released yesterday. 4 tv channels agreed with big 5 poll agencies to conduct a common exit poll on Sunday.

    BUT for the last 2 weeks the stetus was that there will be no exit polls mostly because of the uncertainty of the results and the fear of the poll agancies that will be proven unreliable. If the problem was financial how come and they found the money? I believe that because until 9-9.30 p.m. (that the result will be starting to form) it was going to be a “dead tv zone”.

    The fact that people refuse to answer to the polls is a common secret spread out in the internet for at least the last 4-6 weeks. I personally refused to answer to a poll on the telephone.
    But yesterday it was published to many sites. If you can read greek check this link:
    http://olympia.gr/2012/04/30/gallop-7/
    And it is not the only one.

    The purpose of the elections wordwide is for the people to express their will and oppinion for the way they want to be governed. But for the last decades the political parties (especially ND and PASOK, and not only them) have been proved if not corrapted and liers at least unsufficient. This is why we, the citizens, do not trust only one political party to govern and we want a coalition. To make sure that our vote will not be intercepted again.

    And about your first question, YES, Samaras (ND leader) is so ambisious that he wants to be prime- minister (prime-monster I may say) no matter what!

  11. keeptalkinggreece

    “common secret spread out in internet”?

  12. Yes. Do some relevent search in the web in greek sites for the past couple of months.

    I mean something never officialy said, but not a rhoumor either. Let’s call it a “leak”…

    My intention in my comments above is just to give an idea of the greek public oppinion that may answer to some questions of our friends from abroad.
    I do not claim that everyone in Greece feel that way, but many people do.
    How many people these are, it will be revealed this Sunday. We may be a minority after all… We’ll see…

  13. Can anyone tell me where I can find a list of all the candidates (in each area) for the Greek General Election on-line? I need to think very carefully indeed before I place my vote on Sunday.

  14. keeptalkinggreece

    in all areas and all parties? you could click on the parties websites.