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Saturday, July 25, 2026

Rafale acquisition, F-16 & Mirage upgrade could give Greece’s Air Force superiority over Turkey

Greece’s goals to acquire new fighter jets and upgrade its existing air force could see the Hellenic Air Force (HAF) attain a very formidable qualitative edge over its Turkish rival by the end of the 2020s, notes an article posted on magazine Forbes. The articles lists the Greek plans to acquire French Rafale and upgrade its existing fleet of F-16s and Mirage 2000-5, while it features the difficulties Turkey has nowadays to deal with its own procurement.

Key points

Greece and Turkey are presently locked in an increasingly tense and dangerous standoff in the Aegean Sea and Eastern Mediterranean over hydrocarbon drilling rights and the delineation of their maritime boundaries.

Amid these tensions, Athens is in negotiations with its ally France over future arms deals that might include the procurement of formidable French 4.5-generation Dassault Rafale jets. Greek possession of such jets could pose a significant challenge to Turkish jets over the Aegean and Mediterranean.

Greek media previously claimed that both countries had already reached a deal for a sale of 18 Rafale jets, although this is unconfirmed and seems quite dubious for now.

It’s worth noting that this isn’t the first instance this year in which Greece has shown an interest in substantially upgrading its air force with more modern jets.

Greece plans to procure at least 24 stealthy fifth-generation F-35 Lightning II fighter jets from the United States for $3 billion.

Athens is also in the process of upgrading its air force’s existing inventory, upgrading the fleet of F-16 and of Mirage 2000.

The F-16upgrade is planned to conclude by 2027.

“Completing that upgrade would undoubtedly give that large portion of Greece’s F-16 fleet a qualitative edge over their quantitatively superior Turkish counterpart, which operates the Block 30, 40, and 50 variants of that iconic fighter jet,” notes Forbes.

“All of this comes as Turkey is facing problems with procuring new aircraft and upgrading its existing fleet,” the article adds.

“The United States suspended Turkey from the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program for its acquisition of advanced Russian S-400 air defense missile systems in 2019. Turkey likely won’t receive the jet unless it completely removes the S-400s from its territory, which it’s not likely to do.

Furthermore, Turkey is unlikely going to be able to complete its fifth-generation TAI TF-X stealth fighter by the 2030s nor procure fifth-generation fighters from other countries, such as Russia, in the same period.

Turkey may even find it will have difficulty acquiring 4.5-generation fighters and on top of all this, Ankara may well find it will have difficulty upgrading its existing fleet of fighter jets.

It was recently revealed that Congress secretly blocked arms deals to Turkey since 2018, reportedly including a contract for Lockheed Martin to structurally upgrade 35 of Turkey’s older Block 30 F-16 fighters to prolong their operational lifespan.

Full  story forbes

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